Just for fun, I have decided to track all of my picks and compare them to a well known fantasy "expert", Matthew Berry. It makes sense from an experimental standpoint as well... I want to see how easy it is to be an expert... So I should be comparing myself to experts to see if I can do it. So, for each position, I listed my top picks that are available in over 50% of ESPN leagues, Matthew Berry's top picks with the same criterion, and the actually real life best players that were available.
So, here are the results for each position followed by my predictions for Week 8:
Quarterback
Week 7 Results
| Me | |||
| QB | Name | Points | |
| 1 | Brian Hoyer | 4 | Bust |
| 2 | Charlie Whitehurst | 13 | Bust |
| 3 | Joe Flacco | 14 | Bust |
| MB | |||
| 1 | Carson Palmer | 16 | QB1 |
| 2 | Joe Flacco | 14 | Bust |
| 3 | Kirk Cousins | 1 | Bust |
| Real | |||
| 1 | Ryan Tannehill | 23 | QB1 |
| 2 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | 17 | QB1 |
| 3 | Carson Palmer | 16 | QB1 |
| 3 | Geno Smith | 16 | QB1 |
A QB1 rating means that the quarterback was in the top 12 QBs for last week. Essentially, they were a viable 1st QB starter in a 12-team league. This is based on the standard ESPN scoring system. The results might differ depending on your league settings. Generally speaking in ESPN standard leagues, 10-15 points is not horrendous and anything over 15 points is good... So I don't think Whitehurst and Flacco were bad options if you were desperate for a QB... But, technically, they were not in the top 12 QBs and there were some QBs available in most leagues that did fall within the top 12.
Week 8 Predictions
1) Ryan Tannehill (21.6 Percent Owned)
2) Carson Palmer (10.2 Percent Owned)
3) Alex Smith (17.8 Percent Owned)
These guys seem like no-brainers to me. They are all decent quarterbacks with easy match-ups this week. Honorable mention goes to Teddy Bridgewater this week. He has a very easy matchup... And with his running ability, he has the potential to put up lots of fantasy points. If you are really desperate and you need some big points to win against your opponent this week, you might want to consider Teddy over these other guys.
Running Back
Week 7 Results
| Me | |||
| RB | |||
| 1 | Isaiah Crowell | 1 | Bust |
| 2 | Jonathan Stewart | 6 | RB3 |
| 3 | Brandon Bolden | 0 | Bust |
| MB | |||
| 1 | Ronnie Hillman | 21 | RB1 |
| 2 | Jerick McKinnon | 10 | RB2 |
| 3 | Jonathan Stewart | 6 | RB3 |
| Real | |||
| 1 | Ronnie Hillman | 21 | RB1 |
| 2 | Denard Robinson | 18 | RB1 |
| 3 | Stepfan Taylor | 17 | RB1 |
For running backs, I have included 3 tiers: RB1, RB2, and RB3... Which essentially breaks down to top-12, top-24, and top-36, respectively. Most fantasy leagues allow for 2 RBs and a Flex option that could be a 3rd RB. I went with some riskier options than Matthew Berry and it shows.
Week 8 Predictions
1) Isaiah Crowell (27.8 Percent Owned)
2) Jerick McKinnon (33.3 Percent Owned)
3) Roy Helu (34.8 Percent Owned)
I'm still a fan of Crowell. The Browns couldn't get anything going against the Jaguars for some reason... But it's a nice match-up for Crowell this week. McKinnon is a beast and should feast on the terrible Bucs run-defense. Helu is an interesting choice, but here's my reasoning: Washington plays the Cowboys this week, a team that has been very good so far this year. I think the Redskins are going to be losing for most of the game... And while Alfred Morris is definitely the starter, he is a liability in the passing game. Once Washington is forced into a 1-dimensional passing attack, Helu is the guy that will see most of the snaps. On top of that Colt McCoy is expected to start. It's going to be Checkdown City. "McCoy dumps it off to Helu" is a sentence the announcers should be saying quite a few times on Monday.
Wide Receiver
Week 7 Results
| Me | |||
| WR | |||
| 1 | Andre Holmes | 3 | Bust |
| 2 | Markus Wheaton | 0 | Bust |
| 3 | Brandon LaFell | 5 | WR4 |
| MB | |||
| 1 | Andre Holmes | 3 | Bust |
| 2 | Odell Beckham Jr | 16 | WR1 |
| 3 | Brandon LaFell | 5 | WR4 |
| Real | |||
| 1 | Doug Baldwin | 18 | WR1 |
| 2 | Kenny Stills | 16 | WR1 |
| 2 | Odell Beckham Jr | 16 | WR1 |
I went to 4 tiers with wide receivers because some leagues allow 3 WRs and a Flex option. Matthew Berry and I only differed on 1 pick: I dropped the ball with a goose egg and Berry picked a top option with Beckham.
Week 8 Predictions
1) Doug Baldwin (33.7 Percent Owned)
2) Jordan Matthews (6.7 Percent Owned)
3) Malcom Floyd (17.7 Percent Owned)
Honestly, I'm not a huge fan of any of these guys this week... If you're desperate for a WR, you're in rough shape. There's just not much to choose from.
Tight End
Week 7 Results
| Me | |||
| TE | |||
| 1 | Travis Kelce | 3 | Bust |
| 2 | Dwayne Allen | 11 | TE1 |
| 3 | Jared Cook | 2 | Bust |
| MB | |||
| 1 | Travis Kelce | 3 | Bust |
| 2 | Jared Cook | 2 | Bust |
| 3 | Jermaine Gresham | 4 | Bust |
| Real | |||
| 1 | Gavin Escobar | 18 | TE1 |
| 2 | Cooper Helfet | 12 | TE1 |
| 3 | Jeff Cumberland | 11 | TE1 |
| 3 | Charles Clay | 11 | TE1 |
| 3 | Dwayne Allen | 11 | TE1 |
Ah, the only position that I actually did better than Matthew Berry. In your face! The top TE option who was available in most leagues ended up being Gavin Escobar... A player that most people have never heard of before. Welcome to fantasy football. Heck the top 2 options were essentially no-names to the vast majority of people.
Week 8 Predictions
1) Dwayne Allen (32 Percent Owned)
2) Owen Daniels (25.2 Percent Owned)
3) Charles Clay (13.2 Percent Owned)
I'm sticking with the Allen train. Andrew Luck prefers Allen to Fleener in an offense that can put up points. Daniels has a very easy match-up. Clay is very TD dependent, but I like him this week.
Defense/Special Teams
Week 7 Results
| Me | |||
| Def | |||
| 1 | Browns | 8 | DEF1 |
| 2 | Bears | 5 | Bust |
| 3 | Texans | 4 | Bust |
| MB | |||
| 1 | Ravens | 14 | DEF1 |
| 2 | Browns | 8 | DEF1 |
| 3 | Bears | 5 | Bust |
| Real | |||
| 1 | Jaguars | 15 | DEF1 |
| 2 | Vikings | 14 | DEF1 |
| 3 | Ravens | 14 | DEF1 |
Week 8 Predictions
1) Miami Dolphins (36.9 Percent Owned)
2) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (39.4 Percent Owned)
3) Minnesota Vikings (3.5 Percent Owned)
The Dolphins are playing the Jaguars. Tampa Bay has a good match-up. The Vikings did well against a pretty talented Bills offense. They struggled against some great offenses earlier in the year, which makes their average fantasy points per game deceptive. In 7 games, 5 of them were against the Patriots, the Saints, the Falcons, the Packers, and the Lions. Those are some tough offensive opponents. They had double digit weeks against the Rams and the Bills.
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